CII CEOs Poll of 119 top Corporates indicate swifter economic recovery from the impact of the second wave. “The deadly second wave has not affected much of the economic activities as the lockdowns were largely designed to limit social gathering and this has helped limit the impact of second wave on economic growth when compared to the first wave”, said Mr Chandrajit Banerjee, Director General, CII. About 59 % of the CEOs polled expect the recovery in sales to be better than in the first wave for their companies, while 46% of them expressed a similar trend for their respective industry sectors.
Vaccination holds the key to mitigating the impact of the second wave on economic activity and boosting consumer sentiment. Encouragingly, Indian businesses are making concerted efforts to vaccinate their employees as reflected by the poll results which reveal that 55% of the of employees of the polled firms have been vaccinated with at least the first dose of the vaccine.
Assessing the consumer demand for their sectors, 49% of the CEOs expect consumer demand to be better in the first half of 2021-22 when compared to the same period in 2019-20. Similarly, 72% of the CEOs expect private investments to be better in first half of the current fiscal year when compared to the same period in 2019-20.
As many as 62% of the corporate leaders confirmed that their firm was compelled to scale back operations during the second wave. Due to the scaling back of operations, the adverse impact on the profitability parameters of the firms is apparent too. The poll results show that 44% and 39% of the CEOs expect the dent on their revenue and net profit growth respectively to be more than 10% in the first half of the current fiscal as compared to the same period in 2019-20.
“The good news which got further attestation from the poll results is that the external demand has remained supportive, with 81% of the respondents expecting that the second wave in India will not have adverse impact on the exports for their sector in the first half of the current year than the comparable period in 2019-20”, said Mr Banerjee. The buoyant external demand is buttressed by large-scale global stimulus and the fast pace of vaccination coverage across key global economies.
In addition to a favorable external environment, some encouraging news is also forthcoming from the employment scenario. Localized containment measures during the second wave had a limited impact on stalling the economic activities fully, portending favorably for the employment situation. Not surprisingly, an overwhelming 83% of the CEOs polled foresee either an increase in hires or maintenance of status-quo on the hiring front.
10 July 2021